2017年8月20日

Asia-Pacific Forum 2010

Date October 11-12, 2010
Venue InterContinental Wellington
2 Grey Street
Wellington 6011, New Zealand
TEL: +64(4)472-2722
FAX: +64(4)472-4724
URL: http://www.intercontinental.com/intercontinental/en/gb/locations/wellington
Sponsors Japan Economic Foundation(JEF)
Jiji Press Bldg. 11F, 5-15-8 Ginza
Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061
Japan
TEL: +81(3)5565-4824
FAX: +81(3)5565-4828
URL: http://www.jef.or.jp
New Zealand Institute of International Affairs (NZIIA)
c/- Victoria University of Wellington
PO Box 600, Wellington 6140
New Zealand
TEL: +64(4)463-5356
FAX: +64(4)463-5437
URL: http://www.victoria.ac.nz/nziia

Asia-Pacific Forum 2010
Asia-Pacific Forum 2010More Pictures

Topics"Seeking the optimum future shape for regional economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region"

Program

Session 1: The contribution of FTAsPresenters-Mr. J. Jayasiri, Senior Director, Economic and Trade Relations, Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia

-Prof. Robert SCOLLAY, Associate Professor and Director of the APEC Study Centre, The University of Auckland
The Contribution of FTAs to Regional Economic Integration

-Prof. DJISMAN Simandjuntak, Executive Director, Prasetiya Mulya Business School, and Chairman, Board of Directors, CSIS Foundation
S EAST ASIA INTEGRATION AND COOPERATION

-Mr. Makoto SHIOTA, Deputy Director-General, for International Regional Policy, Trade Policy Bureau, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) Japan
FTA in Asia-Pacific Region

Discussant-Dr. Sangkyom KIM, Senior Research Fellow, Department of Trade and Investment Policy, and Executive Director, Korean National Center for APEC Studies, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)

-Prof. Shujiro URATA, Professor of International Economics, Graduate School of Asia-Pacific Studies, Waseda University

Session 2: The post-financial and economic crisis and FTAs - How is the international system coping in the post-economic crisis period; next step?Presenters-Prof. QIN Yaqing, Professor and Executive Vice president, China Foreign Affairs University
Rebalancing Growth

-Prof. Simon SC TAY, Chairman, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)

-Dr. Mignonne Man-jung CHAN, Assistant Professor, Graduate Institute of the Americas, Tamkang University
Post-Financial Crisis & Asia's Roles

-Prof. Gary HAWKE, Emeritus Professor, Victoria University of Wellington
G.Hawke The post-financial and economic crisis and FTAs
G.Hawke The post-financial and economic crisis and FTAs(PPT)

Discussants-Mr. Tony NOWELL, Member, APEC Business Advisory Council (ABAC) New Zealand
Agenda for free trade as a growth driver and response

-Dr. Hank LIM, Senior Research Fellow, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)
Outline of Presentation
The Post Financial and Economic Crisis and FTAs

-Dr. Thomas G. AQUINO, Senior Fellow, Center for Research and Communications, University of Asia and the Pacific (Former Senior Undersecretary, Department of Trade and Industry of the Republic of Philippines)

-Mr. Hidetoshi NISHIMURA, Executive Director, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA)

Session 3: What could be the optimum future shape for regional economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region?Presenters-Mr. Noboru HATAKEYAMA, Chairman and CEO, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF) (Former Vice-Minister for International Affairs, Ministry of International Trade and Industry, Japan)
What Is the Optimum Shape of Future Regional Economic Integration

-Dr. Sangkyom KIM, Senior Research Fellow, Department of Trade and Investment Policy, and Executive Director, Korean National Center for APEC Studies, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)
Regional Economic Integration in Asia-Pacific

-H.E.Amb. ONG Keng Yong, Ambassador-at-Large, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Singapore, and Director, Institute of Policy Studies (IPS)
Can ASEAN Fulfill Its Potential
FUTURE OF ECONOMIC INTEGRATION IN ASIA-PACIFIC

-Prof. Shujiro URATA, Professor of International Economics, Graduate School of Asia-Pacific Studies, Waseda University

Discussants-Prof. QIN Yaqing, Professor and Executive Vice president, China Foreign Affairs University

-Dr. Mignonne Man-jung CHAN, Assistant Professor, Graduate Institute of the Americas, Tamkang University

-Mr. J. Jayasiri, Senior Director, Economic and Trade Relations, Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia

-Dr. Thomas G. AQUINO, Senior Fellow, Center for Research and Communications, University of Asia and the Pacific (Former Senior Undersecretary, Department of Trade and Industry of the Republic of Philippines)

ParticipantsList

SummarySummary (English)Summary (Japanese)

Chairman's SpeechOpening Speech by Mr. Hatakeyama (October 11, 2010@JEF-NZIIA International Symposium)

The honorable Tim Groser, Minister of Trade, the honorable Russell Marshall, President of the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, distinguished guests, ladies, and gentlemen:
It is my great honor and privilege to welcome all of you to this International Symposium co-hosted by the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs and my organization, the Japan Economic Foundation.

In March 2003, JEF organized the first international symposium in Singapore jointly with SIIA (Singapore Institute of International Affairs), focusing on a region-wide FTA in East Asia. Since then JEF has held the symposium in Bangkok, Manila, Seoul, Jakarta, Beijing, Kuala Lumpur and Delhi with the cooperation of a think tank or local university from each country. This meeting in New Zealand therefore marks the ninth time the symposium has been held.

There are three phenomena in particular that deserve our attention in terms of efforts to promote FTAs in the region.

The first is that the recovery from the economic crisis since 2007 has not been as strong as anticipated. To get out of the crisis, many countries have implemented economic stimulus packages using governmental spending. Thanks to these packages, the world economy has just about managed to escape a hard landing so far. But these packages were designed to last only a certain period of time. Once their effects wear off, the world economy will decline again. In other words, the global economy has not yet recovered self-sustaining power. Therefore, the world economy needs to be given more stimulus packages. However, using government budgets for this purpose is impossible in many countries because of deteriorated fiscal situations. In these countries, therefore, deregulation, rather than government spending, is necessary to stimulate the economy. However, it will be extremely difficult for these countries to undertake unilateral deregulation to bring about deregulation. Therefore it has become necessary for mutual deregulation to be realized in the negotiations of the WTO. However, it has become obvious that the WTO Doha Development Round Negotiations will not be concluded this year. Accordingly, FTAs will have to play the mutual deregulation role instead.

The second phenomenon is the fact that in the past few years ago the government of South Korea has been very keen to pursue FTAs not only with Asian countries but also with countries in other areas. As you know well, the government of South Korea signed an FTA with the US and initialed with the EU. This new attitude of South Korea toward FTAs has stimulated competition from many countries in the area in terms of seeking FTAs.

The third phenomenon is the signing of an Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) between China and Taiwan last June. A cross-strait ECFA will serve not only to strengthen the economic relationship between China and Taiwan, but should also significantly reduce obstacles to the signing of an FTA with Taiwan's other trade partners that have wanted to have an FTA but have refrained from doing so out of consideration for China. In this sense, the signing of the ECFA between China and Taiwan is highly significant for the rest of the world, particularly for countries in the Asia-Pacific region.

Partly reflecting these three phenomena, there are at least five big regional FTA movements in the region at present. These are the EAFTA, CEPEA, FTAAP, TPP and CJKFTA. I will talk about these movements in greater detail in my presentation in Session 3 this afternoon.

Considering these circumstances, I hope that this symposium will discuss the issues I have just mentioned, including "How should we seek the future shape of regional economic integration in the Asia-Pacific Area?"

On this note, I would like to take this opportunity to express my heartfelt gratitude to the Honorable Russell Marshall of NZIIA, all the distinguished speakers and the panelists and to all the participants who have made this symposium a reality. In particular, I would like to express my sincere appreciation to the Honorable Tim Groser, New Zealand's Minister of Trade, for delivering the keynote speech immediately after my remarks. I am sincerely grateful to him for accepting our invitation despite his busy schedule.

Finally, I would also like to thank all the staff of NZIIA who have contributed greatly to making this symposium happen. I wish all of you an interesting and fruitful discussion.

Before ending my opening remarks, however, I would like to take this opportunity to express our deepest condolences on the passing of Dr. Hadi Soesastro. Among many other things, Dr. Soesastro was an extensive contributor who devoted himself to JEF's International Symposium for many years as a regional leader of Asia-Pacific regional economic integration, beginning with its first event in Singapore in 2003. We deeply regret the loss of a great man of common sense.

I would now like to declare the symposium formally open.

Thank you very much.

2016. NOVEMBER 2015. NOVEMBER 2014. NOVEMBER 2013. NOVEMBER 2013. FEBRUARY 2011. OCTOBER 2010. OCTOBER 2009. SEPTEMBER 2008. OCTOBER 2007. NOVEMBER 2006. NOVEMBER 2005. OCTOBER 2005. FEBRUARY 2004. JANUARY 2003. MARCH

4.Participants(October 11-12, 2010)

CHINA

Prof. QIN Yaqing Professor and Executive Vice president, China Foreign Affairs University

ERIA

Mr. Hidetoshi NISHIMURA Executive Director, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA)

INDONESIA

Dr. DJISMAN Simandjuntak Executive Director, Prasetiya Mulya Business School / Chairman, Board of Directors, CSIS Foundation

JAPAN

Mr. Takeshi FUJIMOTO Executive Director, JETRO Singapore / Regional Representative (East Asia), Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) Japan
Mr. Naoyuki HARAOKA Executive Managing Director, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF)
Mr. Noboru HATAKEYAMA Chairman and CEO, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF) / (Former Vice-Minister for International Affairs, Minister of International Trade and Industry of Japan)
Mr. Masaru INOUE Director, International Affairs, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF)
Mr. Makoto SHIOTA Deputy Director-General, for International Regional Policy Trade Policy Bureau, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) Japan
Prof. Shujiro URATA Professor of International Economics, Graduate School of Asia-Pacific Studies, Waseda University
KOREA
Dr. Sangkyom KIM Senior Research Fellow, Department of Trade and Investment Policy / Executive Director, Korean National Center for APEC Studies, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)

MALAYSIA

Mr. J. Jayasiri Senior Director, Economic and Trade Relations, Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia
NEW ZEALAND
Hon. Tim GROSER Minister of Trade
Prof. Gary HAWKE Emeritus Professor, Victoria University of Wellington
Mr. Brian LYNCH Director, New Zealand Institute of International Affairs (NZIIA)
Hon. Russell MARSHALL President, New Zealand Institute of International Affairs (NZIIA)
Mr. Tony NOWELL Member, APEC Business Advisory Council (ABAC) NewZealand
Prof. Robert SCOLLAY Associate Professor and Director of the APEC Study Centre, The University of Auckland

PHILIPPINES

Dr. Thomas G. AQUINO Senior Fellow, Center for Research and Communications University of Asia and the Pacific (Former Senior Undersecretary, Department of Trade and Industry of the Republic of Philippines)

SINGAPORE

Dr. Hank LIM Senior Research Fellow, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)
H.E.Amb. ONG Keng Yong Ambassador-at-Large, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Singapore / Director, Institute of Policy Studies (IPS)
Prof. Simon SC TAY Chairman, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)

TAIWAN

Dr. Mignonne Man-jung CHAN Assistant Professor, Graduate Institute of the Americas, Tamkang University

Asia-Pacific Forum 2009

Date September 24-25, 2009
Venue The Taj Mahal Hotel New Delhi
1, Mansingh Road
New Delhi - 110 011
India
TEL: (91-11) 2302 6162
FAX: (91-11) 2302 6070
Sponsors Japan Economic Foundation(JEF)
Jiji Press Bldg. 11F, 5-15-8 Ginza
Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061
Japan
TEL: (81-3) 5565-4824
FAX: (81-3) 5565-4828
URL: http://www.jef.or.jp
Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS)
Fourth Floor, Core IV-B,
India Habitat Centre, Lodhi Road
New Delhi - 110 003
India
TEL: (91-11) 2468 2177 /78 /79 /80
FAX: (91-11) 2468 2173 /74
URL: http://www.ris.org.in/

Asia-Pacific Forum 2009
Asia-Pacific Forum 2009More Pictures

Topics"Under economic crises, how should Asia promote further economic integration?"

Program

Session 1:" The financial and economic crisis and FTAs ? How can intra-regional export growth through FTAs help tackle the crisis?Presenters-Dr. DJISMAN Simandjuntak, Executive Director, Prasetiya Mulya Business School / Chairman, Board of Directors, CSIS Foundation
East Asian oasis of stability: Geographical re-balancing of trade
Transforming East Asia into an oasis of stability through deeper integration

-Mr. Noriyuki MITA, Director, Economic Partnership Division, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) Japan
The Financial and Economic Crisis and FTAs

-Dr. Thomas G. AQUINO, Senior Undersecretary, Department of Trade and Industry of the Republic of Philippines
The financial and economic crisis and FTAs: How can intra-regional export growth through FTAs help tackle the crisis?
The financial and economic crisis and FTAs: How can intra-regional export growth through FTAs help tackle the crisis? (Word)

Discussant-Dr. Mignonne Man-jung CHAN, Senior Advisor, National Security Council
The Financial & Economic Crisis and FTAs: How can intra-regional export growth through FTAs help tackle the crisis?

Session 2: Asian FTAs in progress ? An introduction to EAFTA, CEPEA, and TPPPresenters-Prof. ZHANG Yunling, Director, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
East Asia FTA: Feasibility Perspective

-Dr. Shujiro URATA, Professor of International Economics, Graduate School of Asia-Pacific Studies, Waseda University
Asian FTAs under Study: EAFTA and CEPEA

-Prof. Gary HAWKE, Emeritus Professor, Victoria University
Asian FTAs in Progress - An introduction to EAFTA, CEPEA and TPP
Asian FTAs in Progress - An introduction to EAFTA, CEPEA and TPP (Word)

Discussant-Mr. Hidetoshi NISHIMURA, Executive Director, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA)
ERIA's Activities

Session 3: What would be the future shape for regional economic integration in East Asia?Presenters-Mr. P.K. DASH, Joint Secretary, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, India
Future shape of regional economic integration in east Asia

-Dr. Chulsu KIM, Chairman, Institute for Trade & Investment (ITI), Lee International / (Former Minister of Trade, Industry and Energy of the Republic of Korea)
The Next Step in East Asian Economic Integration

-Dr. Hank LIM, Director for Research, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)
What would be the Future Shape for Regional Integration in East Asia?

ParticipantsList

SummarySummary

Chairman's SpeechOpening Speech by Mr. Hatakeyama (September 24, 2009 @JEF-RIS International Symposium

The Honorable Dr. Shashi THAROOR, Minister of State for External Affairs, Government of India, Dr. Arjun SENGUPTA, Chairman of Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS) and Member of Parliament, Rajya Sabha, Dr. Biswajit DHAR, Director-General of RIS, and Distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen:

It is my great honor and privilege to welcome all of you to the International Symposium, "Under economic crises, how should Asia promote further economic integration?"

In March 2003, the Japan Economic Foundation (JEF) organized the first international symposium on an East Asian Free Trade Area in Singapore in cooperation with the SIIA (Singapore Institute of International Affairs). Since then, the JEF has held this symposium for 7 consecutive years in cities like Bangkok, Manila, Seoul, Jakarta, Beijing and Kuala Lumpur. Each year, the symposium has been held in a different host city and co-organized with a different partner country. However the theme--East Asian economic integration--has remained the same. And now, for this, the 8th year, the JEF has chosen this historical place as the host city, and has asked the RIS to serve as co-organizer. I would like to express my heartfelt gratitude to RIS for accepting to co-organize. At the same time, the JEF and the RIS have invited experts on this subject from all over the region.

Today's symposium is particularly significant in several ways.

First, this year's symposium is our first meeting since the global financial and economic crisis hit last year. To recover from this crisis, every country is required to do two things; namely, expand domestic demand and expand external demand. For the expansion of domestic demand, the majority of countries in this region have been implementing economic stimulus packages. For the expansion of external demand, I had originally thought that it would be a good idea for us to establish an FTA in this region, with the goal of lowering trade and investment barriers of partner countries in particular.
However, the issue doesn't seem to be so clear cut. I asked my colleagues at the JEF to compare exports to member countries with exports to non-member countries. Discovery out of this comparison is rather surprising. We found out that during this economic crisis, exports from FTA member countries and a Community to non-member countries dropped less than exports to member countries. For example, Thai exports to non-ASEAN countries declined 22.6% year on year during the first half of this year as compared to a 33.5% decline in Thai exports to ASEAN countries. The same thing happened with Germany, France and the UK in the EU. Furthermore the exports from the US and Canada declined less to non-members of the NAFTA than those to members.
As I mentioned, I had expected that an FTA would help exports to its members to expand more, or shrink less than exports to non-members even in economic crisis. Actually, however, what has happened in most FTA member countries is just the other way round. Why did this happen? Although further study is required to clarify things completely, I suspect one of the reasons may be that China and India, two growing global economic centers, are outside of the AFTA, the EU and the NAFTA. Accordingly, exports to China and India are counted as exports to non-members of those regional integrations. Therefore, if we can include both of these countries in our regional integration, we will share the benefits of their economic growth.
Secondly, the current world economic crisis has proven that high value added export items such as automobiles and electronics, as compared with daily necessities, are not necessarily more immune from export market recession. For example, China's export dependence ratio to GDP is almost two and half times larger than Japan's. Despite this, damage to Japan's GDP through export channels seems to be more serious than China's. Why? One answer is differences in the export structure. China's major export items are daily necessities, but Japan's are not.
In essence, high value items have been more vulnerable to the sudden decline in export market demand than necessities. This result is drawn from a study of Japan's situation. ASEAN member nations include more high value items among their major exports than China does.
Therefore, the sudden shrinkage of the US market had a direct impact on ASEAN exports. If it is the case, how can ASEAN members avoid a similar situation in the future?

Thirdly, on the institutional front of East Asian economic integration, the first phase of studies on the EAFTA and the CEPEA were completed in summer of this year. These two independent studies, one for ASEAN+3 and the other for ASEAN+6 were conducted by experts. Now, both studies have entered the second phase, which will be conducted at a governmental level. Therefore, today's symposium is a good opportunity for all of us to give some suggestions regarding these studies. Such suggestions can be also extended to a study on an APEC member FTA.

I hope these three points as well as others will be discussed during today's symposium.

Lastly, I am grateful to all the panelists with many of them coming from overseas to be participating in the symposium. And my gratitude will also extend to audience as well as, once again, RIS. It is my hope that all of you are able to enjoy a very fruitful discussion.

Thank you very much.

2016. NOVEMBER 2015. NOVEMBER 2014. NOVEMBER 2013. NOVEMBER 2013. FEBRUARY 2011. OCTOBER 2010. OCTOBER 2009. SEPTEMBER 2008. OCTOBER 2007. NOVEMBER 2006. NOVEMBER 2005. OCTOBER 2005. FEBRUARY 2004. JANUARY 2003. MARCH

4.Participants(September 24-25, 2009)

CHINA

Prof. ZHANG Yunling Director, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (* Paper submission only *)

INDIA

Dr. Shashi THAROOR Honorable Minister of State for External Affairs, Govt. of India
Dr. Arjun SENGUPTA Chairman, Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS) / Member of Parliament, Rajya Sabha
Ms. L. K. PONAPPA Vice Chairperson, Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS) / Deputy National Security Advisor
Mr. P.K. DASH, Joint Secretary Ministry of Commerce and Industry, India
Dr. Biswajit DHAR Director-General, Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS)
Dr. Ram Upendra DAS Senior Fellow, Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS)

INDONESIA

Dr. DJISMAN Simandjuntak Executive Director, Prasetiya Mulya Business School / Chairman, Board of Directors, CSIS Foundation

JAPAN

Mr. Noboru HATAKEYAMA Chairman and CEO, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF) / (Former Vice-Minister for International Affairs, Minister of International Trade and Industry of Japan)
Dr. Shujiro URATA Professor of International Economics, Graduate School of Asia-Pacific Studies, Waseda University
Mr. Noriyuki MITA Director, Economic Partnership Division, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) Japan
Mr. Naoyuki HARAOKA Executive Managing Director, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF)
Mr. Takeshi FUJIMOTO Executive Director, JETRO Singapore / Regional Representative (East Asia), Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) Japan
KOREA
Dr. Chulsu KIM Chairman, Institute for Trade & Investment (ITI), Lee International / (Former Minister of Trade, Industry and Energy of the Republic of Korea)

MALAYSIA

Mr. J. Jayasiri Senior Director, Economic and Trade Relations, Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia
NEW ZEALAND
Prof. Gary HAWKE Emeritus Professor, Victoria University

PHILIPPINES

Dr. Thomas G. AQUINO Senior Undersecretary, Department of Trade and Industry of the Republic of Philippines

SINGAPORE

H.E.Amb. ONG Keng Yong Ambassador-at-Large, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Singapore / Director, Institute of Policy Studies (IPS)
Dr. Hank LIM Director for Research, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)
CHINESE-TAIPEI
Dr. Mignonne Man-jung CHAN Senior Advisor, National Security Council

ERIA

Mr. Hidetoshi NISHIMURA Executive Director, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA)

Asia-Pacific Forum 2008

Date October 30-31, 2008
Asia-Pacific Forum 2008Asia-Pacific Forum 2008
Venue Mandarin Oriental, Kuala Lumpur
Kuala Lumpur City Centre
P.O. Box 10905
50088 Kuala Lumpur
Malaysia
TEL: (603) 2380 8888
FAX: (603) 2380 8833
Co-hosted Japan Economic Foundation(JEF)
Jiji Press Bldg. 11F, 5-15-8 Ginza
Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061
TEL: (81-3) 5565-4824
FAX: (81-3) 5565-4828
URL: http://www.jef.or.jp
Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS) Malaysia
No. 1, Persiaran Sultan Salahuddin P O Box 12424
50778 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
TEL:(603) 2693 9366
FAX:(603) 2691 5435
URL:http://www.isis.org.my

Topics"EAFTA, CEPEA, FTAAP and beyond"

Session 1: Stocktaking of Bilateral and Regional FTAs in Asia-Pacific Region

Session 2: The Progress and Outlook of EAFTA, CEPEA, and FTAAP

Session 3: Issues Beyond FTAs in East Asia, Including Possibility of ASEM FTA and Global Warming

ParticipantsList

SummarySummary

Chairman's SpeechOpening remarks by Mr. Hatakeyama (October 30, 2008 @JEF-ISIS International Symposium

The Honorable Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, Minister of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia, Tan Sri Mohamed Jawhar Hassan, Chairman and CEO, Institute of Strategic and International Studies Malaysia, H.E. Mr. Masahiko Horie, Ambassador of Japan to Malaysia, Dr. Mahani Zainal Abidin, Director General, ISIS Malaysia, Distinguished guests, ladies, and gentlemen:
It is my great honor and privilege to welcome all of you to the International Symposium, "EAFTA, CEPEA, FTAAP and beyond".

In March 2003, JEF organized the first international symposium on East Asian Free Trade Area in Singapore with the cooperation of SIIA (Singapore Institute of International Affairs). Since then JEF held this symposium in Bangkok, Manila, Seoul, Jakarta and Beijing respectively with the cooperation of a think tank or university of each country, focusing on the future prospects of an East Asian Economic Partnership. This year we have asked ISIS Malaysia to co-host this symposium and ISIS Malaysia kindly accepted this.

Since JEF started this symposium five and a half years ago, there have been noticeable changes taking place in East Asia in terms of regional economic integration. In particular, with the recent breakdown of Doha Development Round, the momentum towards regional or bi-lateral economic arrangements has been intensified.

As we all are aware, there are three proposals on the table for discussions on East Asian or Asia Pacific economic integrations;
1) East Asia Free Trade Area (EAFTA) proposed by China, consisting ASEAN +3
2) Comprehensive Economic Partnership in East Asia (CEPEA) proposed by Japan, consisting of ASEAN +6
3) Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific (FTAAP) proposed by the United States.
What would be the relationship between the EAFTA, CEPEA and FTAAP?
I hope that at this symposium we will discuss this issue.

In addition to this, we would like to broaden our horizons toward a possible region to region economic integration.
Last year Korea started negotiations with the EU on possible Korea-EU FTA. If this will have been agreed and implemented, all Asian goods except Korean's will be discriminated in the EU market as compared to Korean goods unless ASEAN-EU FTA will have been completed. Of course even in this case, Japanese and Chinese goods are discriminated in the EU market as compared to Korean or ASEAN goods. To solve this issue, perhaps it is an interesting idea to explore a possibility to start a study for ASEM FTA. It will make a good balance with the study for APEC FTA I mentioned above.

Thirdly, as financial turmoil which started from the US has increasingly become globalized including Asia. If you recall the great depression back in 1929 and early 30's, the financial crisis led to blocked economies worldwide and the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act in the US. Therefore we have to be extremely careful so that this financial turmoil will not bring about trade and investment protectionism.
Last but not the least, it will be useful if we can discuss global warming issue whose new stage after the Kyoto Protocol will start from 2013. In the case of the Montreal Protocol which has been addressing Freon gas, import restriction has been introduced against non-participating countries in the Protocol. Should we consider to introduce trade measures against non-participating countries in the Post Kyoto Protocol? Or should we come up with the idea to solicit every country to participate?
I would like to introduce my personal, very provocative idea on this later at the 3rd session to stimulate our discussion.

On this note, I would like to take this opportunity to express my heartfelt gratitude to Tan Sri Mohamed Jawhar Hassan, and Dr. Mahani of ISIS Malaysia, all the distinguished speakers and the panelists and you, the participants for making this symposium realized. In particular, I would like to express my sincere appreciation to The Honorable Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, Minister of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia for delivering the keynote speech immediately after my remarks. I sincerely feel grateful that he accepted our invitation despite his hectic schedule.
Finally, I would also like to thank all staff of ISIS Malaysia, which has greatly contributed to this symposium. I wish all of you an interesting and fruitful discussion.
Thank you very much.

Now I would like to declare the symposium starts.

2016. NOVEMBER 2015. NOVEMBER 2014. NOVEMBER 2013. NOVEMBER 2013. FEBRUARY 2011. OCTOBER 2010. OCTOBER 2009. SEPTEMBER 2008. OCTOBER 2007. NOVEMBER 2006. NOVEMBER 2005. OCTOBER 2005. FEBRUARY 2004. JANUARY 2003. MARCH

4.Participants(October 30-31, 2008)

CHINA

Dr. CHAI Yu Professor and director of economic cooperation division, The institute of Asia and Pacific Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)

INDIA

Dr. Nagesh KUMAR Director-General, Research and Information System for Developing Countries (RIS)

INDONESIA

Dr. DJISMAN Simandjuntak Executive Director, Prasetiya Mulya Business School, and Chairman, Board of Directors, CSIS Foundation
Dr. HADI Soesastro Executive Director, Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS-Jakarta)

JAPAN

Mr. Noboru HATAKEYAMA Chairman and CEO, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF), (Former Vice-Minster for International Affairs, Minister of International Trade and Industry of Japan)
Mr. Naoyuki HARAOKA Executive Managing Director, Japan Economic Foundation (JEF)
Dr. Motoshige ITOH Professor, Graduate School of Economics, The University of Tokyo
Mr. Atsuo KURODA Deputy Director-General, Trade Policy Bureau, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI-Japan)
Mr. Yoshifumi MURASE Executive Director, JETRO Singapore, Regional Representative (East Asia) of METI Japan
Mr. Hiroshi TSUKAMOTO President, Institute for International Studies and Training Special Advisor, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI-Japan), Commissioner General of the Japanese Section Expo Shanghai 2010
Dr. Shujiro URATA Professor of International Economics, Graduate School of Asia-Pacific Studies, Waseda University

KOREA

Dr. Chulsu KIM Chairman, Institute for Trade & Investment (ITI), Lee International (Former Minister of Trade, Industry and Energy of the Republic of Korea)

MALAYSIA

The Honourable Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin Minister of International Trade and Industry
Tan Sri Mohamed JAWHAR Hassan Chairman and CEO, Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS Malaysia)
Mr. J. Jayasiri Senior Director, Economic and Trade Relations, Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia
Dr. MAHANI Zainal Abidin Director General, Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS Malaysia)

PHILIPPINES

Dr. Thomas G. AQUINO Senior Undersecretary, Department of Trade and Industry of the Republic of Philippines

SINGAPORE

Dr. Hank LIM Director for Research, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)
Prof. Simon SC TAY Chairman, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)

TAIWAN

Dr. Mignonne Man-jung CHAN Senior Advisor, National Security Council

November 1-2, 2007

Date November 1-2, 2007
Asia-Pacific Forum 2007Asia-Pacific Forum 2007
Venue Hotel New Otani Chang Fu Gong
26 Jian Guo Men Wai Avenue
Beijing, China
TEL: (8610) 6512-5555
FAX: (8610) 6513-0868
Co-hosted Japan Economic Foundation(JEF)
Jiji Press Bldg. 11F, 5-15-8 Ginza
Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061 Japan
TEL: (81-3) 5565-4824
FAX: (81-3) 5565-4828
URL: http://www.jef.or.jp
Academic Division of International Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (ADIS CASS)
3 Zhang Zizhong Rd., Beijing 100007 China
TEL: (86-10) 6406-3922
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Topics"A New Age of Trade in Asia"

Session 1: The recent FTA movements in the East Asia region and future prospects towards an integral FTA in the region

Session 2: How should we deal with the different proposals towards an integral FTA in the East Asia region as a whole?

Session 3: The Korea-US FTA and its implications to East Asia and Europe

ParticipantsList

SummarySummary

Chairman's SpeechOpening remarks by Mr. Hatakeyama (November 1, 2007 @JEF-ADIS CASS International Symposium)

Prof. Zhang Yunling, Director of Academic Division of International Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, distinguished guests, ladies, and gentlemen:

It is my great honor and privilege to welcome all of you to the International Symposium, "A New Age of Trade in Asia", co-hosted by Academic Division of International Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and my organization, Japan Economic Foundation.

In March 2003, JEF organized the first international symposium in Singapore jointly with SIIA (Singapore Institute of International Affairs), focusing on a region-wide FTA in East Asia. Since then JEF has held the symposium in Bangkok, Manila, Seoul, and Jakarta respectively with the cooperation of a think tank or university of each country.

Since JEF started this symposium four and half years ago, there have been the following noticeable changes taking place in East Asia.

Firstly, the number of FTAs in this area, both bilateral and regional, increased remarkably including ASEAN-China FTA, ASEAN-Korea FTA. ASEAN-Japan FTA is to be signed this month in Singapore.

In March 2003 when we organized the symposium in Singapore for the first time, there were only 7 such FTAs. As of now there are more than 30 FTAs in which at least one East Asian country is involved. More FTAs are under negotiations.

Secondly, a feasibility study report on EAFTA was submitted in July last year under the chairmanship of Mr. Zhang Yunling, who is our counterpart this time. The core of this report was that an independent process to form an EAFTA consisting of ASEAN +3 could be launched in 2007.

Thirdly, Japan proposed to start feasibility study on Comprehensive Economic Partnership in East Asia (CEPEA), consisting of ASEAN +6, on which the leaders agreed to launch a Track Two study among East Asia Summit participants.

Fourthly, the US has expressed interests in integral economic arrangements in this region. At the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Hanoi in November last year, the idea of FTA AP was proposed with the strong initiative of the US. The leaders instructed their officials to undertake further studies on this idea as a long term prospect. In June this year, the US and Korea signed a free trade agreement. This KORUS FTA is expected to have significant implications for trade and investment in this region.

I hope that this symposium will discuss those issues I mentioned above, including "How should we deal with the different proposal towards an integral FTA in the East Asia region as a whole?".

On this note, I would like to take this opportunity to express my heartfelt gratitude to Prof. Zhang Yunling, all the distinguished speakers and the panelists and you, the participants for making this symposium realized.

Finally, I would also like to thank all staff of ADIS, CASS which has greatly contributed to this symposium. I wish all of you an interesting and fruitful discussion.

Thank you very much.

2016. NOVEMBER 2015. NOVEMBER 2014. NOVEMBER 2013. NOVEMBER 2013. FEBRUARY 2011. OCTOBER 2010. OCTOBER 2009. SEPTEMBER 2008. OCTOBER 2007. NOVEMBER 2006. NOVEMBER 2005. OCTOBER 2005. FEBRUARY 2004. JANUARY 2003. MARCH

4.Participants(November 1-2, 2007)

ASEAN

Dr. Termsak CHALERMPALANUPAP Special Assistant to the Secretary-General of ASEAN and Director for Research in the Office of the Secretary-General, The ASEAN Secretariat

AUSTRALIA

Mr. Allan GYNGELL Executive Director, The Lowy Institute for International Policy

CHINA

Prof. ZHANG Yunling Director, Academic Division of International Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (ADIS CASS)

INDONESIA

Dr. Djisman SIMANDJUNTAK Executive Director, Prasetiya Mulya Business School and Chairman, Board of Directors, CSIS Foundation

JAPAN

Mr. Noboru HATAKEYAMA Chairman and CEO Japan Economic Foundation (JEF) (Former Vice-Minster for International Affairs, Minister of International Trade and Industry of Japan)
Mr. Shigehiro TANAKA Director, Economic Partnership Division, Trade Policy Bureau, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI-Japan)
Mr. Hiroshi TSUKAMOTO President, Institute for International Studies and Training

KOREA

Dr. Chulsu KIM Chairman, Institute for Trade & Investment (ITI), Lee International (Former Minister of Trade, Industry and Energy of the Republic of Korea)

MALAYSIA

Mr. J. Jayasiri Senior Director, Economic and Trade Relations, Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Malaysia

SINGAPORE

Dr. Hank LIM Director for Research, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)
Prof. Simon SC TAY Chairman, Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA)